How many Medicare Advantage members in Davidson County must pick a new plan for 2027?

2,187 of 49,352 members (4.4%): their plan is not sold in the county for 2027 according to the CMS crosswalk and Landscape. Tennessee as a whole: 2.9%; the nation: 10.6%.

Which plan in Davidson County ends with the most members?

Humana Value Plus H7617-088 (PPO) (H7617-088, Humana Inc.): 771 members in September 2026, its service area reduced.

Which company ended the most plans in Davidson County for 2027?

Humana Inc.: 1,513 of its 5,371 members in the county (28.2%), 4 of its 13 plans.

What share of Davidson County's Medicare eligibles are in Medicare Advantage?

56.1% in September 2026: 59,126 of 105,465 eligibles, from the CMS state-county penetration file.

How are Davidson County's members rated for 2027?

31.6% of members are in contracts rated 4 stars or more for 2027 (68.2% the year before); the member-weighted average star is 3.61 over 26 rated contracts.

How does 2027 compare with 2026 in Davidson County?

4,924 members (10.1%) had to pick a new plan for 2026; for 2027 it is 2,187 (4.4%), a change of -2,737 members.

2027 open enrollment. 3.15 million people must pick a new Medicare Advantage plan. See every plan and county, free.3.15M must pick a new plan.

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Vlada / Medicare Advantage / Tennessee / Davidson County

Medicare Advantage plan exits 2027 in Davidson County, TN

2,187 of the 49,352 Medicare Advantage members in Davidson County (4.4%) are in a plan that is not sold in the county for 2027: 9 of the 65 plans sold there in September 2026 end, from the CMS 2027 Landscape and crosswalk. Tennessee: 2.9%; the nation: 10.6%.

Period: plan year 2027 against September 2026 members · Updated 2026-10-20 · Next: CMS January 2027 enrollment (February 2027): where the members landed

members, Sept 2026: 49,352; members, Sept 2026
must pick for 2027: 2,187; must pick for 2027
share of members: 4.4%; share of members
plans end: 9 of 65; plans end

Medicare Advantage members in Davidson County, 2015 to 2026

MA enrollment in September each year, with MA penetration (members over Medicare eligibles) at the top of each bar, from the CMS state-county penetration file. Navy: the last two years. 69 plans are listed for the county for 2027 against 74 for 2026.

The plans that end for 2027

Every plan sold in Davidson County in September 2026 with members whose plan is not sold there for 2027: how it went (terminated, or its service area reduced so it continues elsewhere), the members the same company offers a new or renumbered plan of the same type, and the members whose company sells nothing in the county next year.

Plan	Company	Type	Members	Terminated	Service area reduced	Company gone
Humana Value Plus H7617-088 (PPO) H7617-088	Humana Inc.	Regular PPO	771	0	771	0
Humana Value Plus H5216-180 (PPO) H5216-180	Humana Inc.	Regular PPO	453	0	453	0
Wellcare Simple (HMO-POS) H1416-077	Centene Corporation	Regular HMO	427	427	0	427
Humanachoice H5216-450 (PPO) H5216-450	Humana Inc.	Regular PPO	256	256	0	0
Wellcare Giveback (HMO-POS) H1416-079	Centene Corporation	Regular HMO	94	94	0	94
Wellcare Assist (HMO-POS) H1416-042	Centene Corporation	Regular HMO	71	71	0	71
Wellcare Dual Access (HMO-POS D-SNP) H1416-035	Centene Corporation	D-SNP HMO	45	45	0	45
Wellcare Assist (HMO-POS) H1416-083	Centene Corporation	Regular HMO	37	37	0	37
Humanachoice H5216-449 (PPO) H5216-449	Humana Inc.	Regular PPO	33	33	0	0
9 plans			2,187	963	1,224	674

Download this table (CSV, CC BY 4.0) · cells under 11 members are suppressed by CMS and count as zero, so every count is a floor.

By company in Davidson County

Company	Members, Sept 2026	Plans	Plans ending	Must pick	Share of own members	Company gone
Humana Inc.	5,371	13	4	1,513	28.2%	0
Centene Corporation	674	5	5	674	100.0%	674
Health Care Service Corporation	16,684	9	0	0	0.0%	0
UnitedHealth Group, Inc.	10,927	8	0	0	0.0%	0
BlueCross BlueShield of Tennessee	10,764	10	0	0	0.0%	0
Elevance Health, Inc.	2,721	6	0	0	0.0%	0
CVS Health Corporation	1,120	3	0	0	0.0%	0
Devoted Health, Inc.	704	6	0	0	0.0%	0
Zing Health Consolidator, Inc	330	4	0	0	0.0%	0
Missouri Healthcare Advisors, LLC	57	1	0	0	0.0%	0

Davidson County against Tennessee and the nation

Measure	County	Tennessee	United States
Must pick for 2027, share of members	4.4%	2.9%	10.6%
Must pick for 2026	10.1%		10.1%
Must pick for 2025, members	3,065 of 47,755
Must pick for 2026, members	4,924 of 48,559
Must pick for 2027, members	2,187 of 49,352

State and national figures: the Tennessee hub and the national report.

Star Ratings 2027 in Davidson County

Measure	2027	2026	Change
Members in contracts rated 4+ stars	31.6%	68.2%	-36.6 pts
Member-weighted average star	3.61	3.96	-0.35
Rated contracts with members here	26	24

Members by star, 2027: 4.5: 7,403 · 4.0: 11,225 · 3.5: 27,161 · 3.0: 13,110; 0 in unrated contracts. Each contract's 2027 overall star (CMS, released 2026-10-08) weighted by its 2026-09 members in the county, individual and group; 2026 by 2025-09 members.

Sources

CMS Medicare Advantage/Part D Landscape, plan year 2027: landscape_cy2027-landscape-202609-1.zip (CMS, September 2026); CMS plan crosswalk CY2027.
CMS monthly enrollment by contract, plan and county, 2026-09 (and the two Septembers before, for the series).
CMS MA state-county penetration file, September of each year (eligibles, enrollment, penetration).
CMS Star Ratings 2027, released 2026-10-08. Page object written 2026-10-20.

Receipts: athena(table=medicare_semantic.exits_cells_county_2027_v1, block=plans) 042eb472aa7d…; athena(table=medicare_semantic.exits_cells_county_2025_v1, medicare_semantic.exits_cells_county_2026_v1, medicare_semantic.exits_cells_county_2027_v1, block=series) ee9fd56a8632…; athena(table=medicare_semantic.ma_spine_county_market_v20261012b, block=market) e6c1b5ce62c0…; athena(table=medicare_semantic.ma_spine_contract_stars_v20261012b, weights=medicare_semantic.ma_spine_enroll_plan_county_v20261012a, block=stars) c39711c388e0…. Suppressed cells count as zero in every count.

Cite: Vlada Health (2026). Medicare Advantage plan exits 2027 in Davidson County, TN. https://www.vladahealth.com/medicare-advantage/tn/davidson. Data: CC BY 4.0.

Method

Population: members of individual Medicare Advantage plans (H and R contracts, plans 001 to 799, special needs plans included; employer group, Cost, MMP and PACE excluded) in the county in September 2026.
Must pick: the CMS crosswalk names no successor plan sold in the county for 2027; members CMS moves to a successor in the county are not counted.
Terminated: the plan is gone from every county. Service area reduced: the plan continues elsewhere but not here. Offered a new or renumbered plan: the same company sells, in this county, the same name under a new number or a new plan of the same HMO or PPO and special needs type. Company gone: no plan of any type from that company in the county.
Stars: each contract's overall star weighted by its September members in the county; unrated contracts counted apart, never as zero stars. Penetration: the CMS file's own eligibles and MA enrollment.
Suppression: CMS hides cells under 11 members; they count as zero, so every count is a floor and every share is not.

The full method and the national tables: How we counted, and how to check it.

Questions

How many Medicare Advantage members in Davidson County must pick a new plan for 2027?: 2,187 of 49,352 members (4.4%): their plan is not sold in the county for 2027 according to the CMS crosswalk and Landscape. Tennessee as a whole: 2.9%; the nation: 10.6%.
Which plan in Davidson County ends with the most members?: Humana Value Plus H7617-088 (PPO) (H7617-088, Humana Inc.): 771 members in September 2026, its service area reduced.
Which company ended the most plans in Davidson County for 2027?: Humana Inc.: 1,513 of its 5,371 members in the county (28.2%), 4 of its 13 plans.
What share of Davidson County's Medicare eligibles are in Medicare Advantage?: 56.1% in September 2026: 59,126 of 105,465 eligibles, from the CMS state-county penetration file.
How are Davidson County's members rated for 2027?: 31.6% of members are in contracts rated 4 stars or more for 2027 (68.2% the year before); the member-weighted average star is 3.61 over 26 rated contracts.
How does 2027 compare with 2026 in Davidson County?: 4,924 members (10.1%) had to pick a new plan for 2026; for 2027 it is 2,187 (4.4%), a change of -2,737 members.

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Use Vlada. In Davidson County, Tennessee, which Medicare Advantage plans are not sold for 2027, how many members are in each, and what did 2026 look like? Give me a table with the source file, the data vintage and the response hash.

Behind it: get_county_view (state TN, county Davidson) and get_landscape_exits (group_by county).