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Vlada / Medicare Advantage / Arkansas / St. Francis County

Medicare Advantage plan exits 2027 in St. Francis County, AR

85 of the 2,570 Medicare Advantage members in St. Francis County (3.3%) are in a plan that is not sold in the county for 2027: 4 of the 42 plans sold there in September 2026 end, from the CMS 2027 Landscape and crosswalk. Arkansas: 5.2%; the nation: 10.6%.

Period: plan year 2027 against September 2026 members · Updated 2026-10-20 · Next: CMS January 2027 enrollment (February 2027): where the members landed

members, Sept 2026
2,570
members, Sept 2026
must pick for 2027
85
must pick for 2027
share of members
3.3%
share of members
plans end
4 of 42
plans end

Medicare Advantage members in St. Francis County, 2015 to 2026

MA enrollment in September each year, with MA penetration (members over Medicare eligibles) at the top of each bar, from the CMS state-county penetration file. Navy: the last two years. 58 plans are listed for the county for 2027 against 64 for 2026.

07001k2k3k21%201523%24%201726%29%201935%39%202145%52%202355%56%202557%

The plans that end for 2027

Every plan sold in St. Francis County in September 2026 with members whose plan is not sold there for 2027: how it went (terminated, or its service area reduced so it continues elsewhere), the members the same company offers a new or renumbered plan of the same type, and the members whose company sells nothing in the county next year.

PlanCompanyTypeMembersTerminatedService area reducedOffered a new or renumbered planCompany gone
Aetna Medicare Dual Extra (PPO D-SNP) H1608-076CVS Health CorporationD-SNP PPO3232000
Wellcare Simple Preferred (HMO-POS) H1416-055Centene CorporationRegular HMO2020000
Wellcare Giveback (HMO-POS) H9630-008Centene CorporationRegular HMO2020000
Wellcare Dual Access Harmony (HMO-POS D-SNP) H1416-033Centene CorporationD-SNP HMO1313000
4 plans8585000

Download this table (CSV, CC BY 4.0) · cells under 11 members are suppressed by CMS and count as zero, so every count is a floor.

By company in St. Francis County

CompanyMembers, Sept 2026PlansPlans endingMust pickShare of own membersOffered a new or renumbered planCompany gone
Centene Corporation146735336.3%00
CVS Health Corporation96413233.3%00
UnitedHealth Group, Inc.1,22511000.0%00
Humana Inc.95913000.0%00
Devoted Health, Inc.755000.0%00
Health Care Service Corporation461000.0%00
USAble Mutual Insurance Company231000.0%00

St. Francis County against Arkansas and the nation

MeasureCountyArkansasUnited States
Must pick for 2027, share of members3.3%5.2%10.6%
Must pick for 20267.0%10.1%
Must pick for 2025, members109 of 2,438
Must pick for 2026, members175 of 2,511
Must pick for 2027, members85 of 2,570

State and national figures: the Arkansas hub and the national report.

Star Ratings 2027 in St. Francis County

Measure20272026Change
Members in contracts rated 4+ stars65.2%64.9%+0.3 pts
Member-weighted average star4.013.94+0.07
Rated contracts with members here1213

Members by star, 2027: 4.5: 1,166 · 4.0: 556 · 3.5: 751 · 3.0: 169; 75 in unrated contracts. Each contract's 2027 overall star (CMS, released 2026-10-08) weighted by its 2026-09 members in the county, individual and group; 2026 by 2025-09 members.

Sources

  • CMS Medicare Advantage/Part D Landscape, plan year 2027: landscape_cy2027-landscape-202609-1.zip (CMS, September 2026); CMS plan crosswalk CY2027.
  • CMS monthly enrollment by contract, plan and county, 2026-09 (and the two Septembers before, for the series).
  • CMS MA state-county penetration file, September of each year (eligibles, enrollment, penetration).
  • CMS Star Ratings 2027, released 2026-10-08. Page object written 2026-10-20.

Receipts: athena(table=medicare_semantic.exits_cells_county_2027_v1, block=plans) 042eb472aa7d…; athena(table=medicare_semantic.exits_cells_county_2025_v1, medicare_semantic.exits_cells_county_2026_v1, medicare_semantic.exits_cells_county_2027_v1, block=series) ee9fd56a8632…; athena(table=medicare_semantic.ma_spine_county_market_v20261012b, block=market) e6c1b5ce62c0…; athena(table=medicare_semantic.ma_spine_contract_stars_v20261012b, weights=medicare_semantic.ma_spine_enroll_plan_county_v20261012a, block=stars) c39711c388e0…. Suppressed cells count as zero in every count.

Cite: Vlada Health (2026). Medicare Advantage plan exits 2027 in St. Francis County, AR. https://www.vladahealth.com/medicare-advantage/ar/st-francis. Data: CC BY 4.0.

Method

  • Population: members of individual Medicare Advantage plans (H and R contracts, plans 001 to 799, special needs plans included; employer group, Cost, MMP and PACE excluded) in the county in September 2026.
  • Must pick: the CMS crosswalk names no successor plan sold in the county for 2027; members CMS moves to a successor in the county are not counted.
  • Terminated: the plan is gone from every county. Service area reduced: the plan continues elsewhere but not here. Offered a new or renumbered plan: the same company sells, in this county, the same name under a new number or a new plan of the same HMO or PPO and special needs type. Company gone: no plan of any type from that company in the county.
  • Stars: each contract's overall star weighted by its September members in the county; unrated contracts counted apart, never as zero stars. Penetration: the CMS file's own eligibles and MA enrollment.
  • Suppression: CMS hides cells under 11 members; they count as zero, so every count is a floor and every share is not.

The full method and the national tables: How we counted, and how to check it.

Questions

How many Medicare Advantage members in St. Francis County must pick a new plan for 2027?
85 of 2,570 members (3.3%): their plan is not sold in the county for 2027 according to the CMS crosswalk and Landscape. Arkansas as a whole: 5.2%; the nation: 10.6%.
Which plan in St. Francis County ends with the most members?
Aetna Medicare Dual Extra (PPO D-SNP) (H1608-076, CVS Health Corporation): 32 members in September 2026, terminated.
Which company ended the most plans in St. Francis County for 2027?
Centene Corporation: 53 of its 146 members in the county (36.3%), 3 of its 7 plans.
What share of St. Francis County's Medicare eligibles are in Medicare Advantage?
57.2% in September 2026: 2,832 of 4,950 eligibles, from the CMS state-county penetration file.
How are St. Francis County's members rated for 2027?
65.2% of members are in contracts rated 4 stars or more for 2027 (64.9% the year before); the member-weighted average star is 4.01 over 12 rated contracts.
How does 2027 compare with 2026 in St. Francis County?
175 members (7.0%) had to pick a new plan for 2026; for 2027 it is 85 (3.3%), a change of -90 members.

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Use Vlada. In St. Francis County, Arkansas, which Medicare Advantage plans are not sold for 2027, how many members are in each, and what did 2026 look like? Give me a table with the source file, the data vintage and the response hash.

Behind it: get_county_view (state AR, county St. Francis) and get_landscape_exits (group_by county).